COVID-19 Cases Trending Down in Tesla Plant Location

Alameda County has 1.6 million residents; Less than 40 cases per day on average; lower than many other manufacturing locations

May 12, 2020—East Lansing, Michigan—The auto industry experts at Anderson Economic Group, together with the data analytics firm Supported Intelligence, have analyzed COVID-19 case data for all 50 states and multiple countries. These analyses, regularly published since early April, now have a strong track record of anticipating the epidemic’s path.

Today, AEG released a comparative assessment of the COVID-19 epidemic in Alameda County California, home of the Tesla Fremont plant. Comparative data was also released for two other U.S. auto manufacturing locations: Wayne County Michigan, (home to multiple facilities including the historic Detroit-Hamtramck plant operated by GM, the Wayne Assembly plant operated by Ford, and the “new Mack Avenue” plant being constructed by Chrysler); and Fort Wayne Indiana, home of a major GM assembly plant.

The experts conclude that cases in Alameda are trending down, and are substantially lower than those in other manufacturing areas with similar population size. “Our analysis shows daily probable and confirmed cases for Alameda County’s 1.6 million population are averaging about 40 per day, with a total thus far of just over 2,000,” said Sara Bowers, a consultant with Anderson Economic Group. “In contrast, Wayne County Michigan, with a population of 1.75 million, has approximately 18,000 cases.” Ms. Bowers notes that, based on current data, both counties “appeared to pass their peak a week or so earlier.”

Alameda County is not the auto manufacturing center with the lowest number of cases, however. The Fort Wayne Indiana MSA, another home of auto manufacturing, has daily cases trending around 25 per day and a total of just over 800. It also appears to have passed the peak of its epidemic recently.

Alameda Cases (click image to enlarge)
Detroit Cases (click image to enlarge)

Fort Wayne Cases (click image to enlarge)

About Anderson Economic Group

Anderson Economic Group, LLC, is a highly-respected U.S.-based research and consulting firm that specializes in economics and market analysis with a particular emphasis on the automotive industry. Since our founding in 1996, our work has helped private firms, publicly traded companies, state & local governments, and non-profit organizations.

Anderson Economic Group has been closely following the pandemic and analyzing its economic impacts upon the auto industry since February. We now offer location-specific services that provide the most current and comprehensive COVID tracking analyses available to provide an early forecast of conditions within a geographic scope of operations. Contact us to learn more.

Download the full release, and view the latest data analyses here.