AEG: Continuing Analysis of the GM Strike

Updated October 11, 2019

Keep up with our expert analysis–see AEG’s latest update below.

Don’t miss Patrick Anderson’s take on why this strike matters well beyond the auto industry. Much is at stake for American companies and American workers (Detroit News Editorial, 10/2/2019).

Media outlets seeking the most current AEG expert analysis, interviews with Patrick Anderson and Brian Peterson, or up-to-the-minute input from our analysts should contact Lisa at 517.333.6984 or by emailing lwbooth (at) andersoneconomicgroup.com.


Latest AEG Clips Regarding the GM Strike


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Latest Release: October 10


Anderson Economic Group Analysis for the UAW GM Strike, Week Four: GM Lost Profits Top $1B

East Lansing, MI, October 10, 2019—With week four of the strike drawing to a close, the toll from the UAW GM strike has continued to mount. Analysts at Anderson Economic Group (AEG) today released the following updated impact estimates that include data through October 13:

  • $1.13 billion in lost profits for GM,
  • Direct wage losses for all employees in excess of $624 million,
  • $250 million in lost federal income and payroll tax revenue, and
  • $13.8 million in lost Michigan income tax revenue.

The above calculations do not include strike pay, substitute work by furloughed employees, lost earnings at dealerships, or reductions in government expenditures.

Dr. Cristina Benton, Director of Anderson Economic Group’s market and industry analysis practice area and a leading national expert on auto dealership franchises elaborates:

The majority of dealers, with the exception of those directly next to GM plants, are not yet feeling a pinch in their sales, having maintained reasonable inventory levels. Some dealers close to the assembly plants are reporting lower than normal sales volumes. However, some parts are becoming scarce, and these shortages are delaying needed repairs.

Charted calculations follow:

For print quality versions of these images, please contact Lisa Booth, lwbooth (at) AndersonEconomicGroup.com.


Previous Release: October 8


GM UAW strike week four: Estimated number of affected workers rises

East Lansing, MI, October 8, 2019—As the UAW General Motors strike enters its fourth week, both GM employees and those who work for auto parts suppliers are coping with what will likely be another week of foregone paychecks. Anderson Economic Group (AEG) estimates that the strike, which began on September 16, has jumped from impacting the initial 49,000 UAW workers to nearly 150,000 workers throughout the U.S. auto industry. “What started as a concentrated event affecting a select group of workers has now ballooned in scope,” says Brian Peterson, AEG’s Director of public policy and economic analysis.

Experts at AEG estimate that the number of workers whose wages have been impacted has more than tripled since the strike began.  “At the beginning of the strike, you had the 49,000 UAW workers across the country who walked off the job in September,” explained Peterson, “but after three weeks, there are also 25,000 salaried GM workers whose wages have been affected.” Peterson also noted the additional “75,000 employees who work for auto parts suppliers who have either been temporarily laid off or had their wages reduced since GM assembly plants no longer have demand for their parts or services.” AEG predicts that the impact of the strike will continue to expand each day GM’s factories remain idle.

Anderson Economic Group is updating its ongoing estimates for total wages lost and lost GM profits. An update will be released later this week.

Through October 6 (week 3 of the strike), AEG estimated the following impacts:

  • $660 million in lost profits for GM,
  • Direct wage losses for all employees in excess of $412 Million,
  • $155 million in lost federal income and payroll tax revenue, and
  • $9.1 million in lost Michigan income tax revenue.

 

Older Press Clips


October 6

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